Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.729600 0.813189 0.903984 1.010181 1.131295 1.265478 1.425885
2025-08-03 0.596074 0.710160 0.844178 1.014304 1.226025 1.482807 1.820807
2025-08-10 0.523098 0.651618 0.810789 1.024577 1.307496 1.673711 2.191246
2025-08-17 0.457975 0.590229 0.760823 1.000269 1.332951 1.786766 2.466615
2025-08-24 0.421262 0.559391 0.744087 1.013757 1.405347 1.965922 2.852785
2025-08-31 0.385123 0.524516 0.716696 1.006984 1.445035 2.099365 3.186348
2025-09-07 0.358425 0.499543 0.699632 1.011496 1.499304 2.257818 3.578173
2025-09-14 0.330095 0.469311 0.671560 0.995563 1.518674 2.361754 3.892647
2025-09-21 0.306979 0.444561 0.648999 0.985030 1.544034 2.476260 4.239436
2025-09-28 0.279692 0.411276 0.610508 0.945102 1.515944 2.495989 4.415763
2025-10-05 0.269406 0.403195 0.610216 0.966724 1.593255 2.706607 4.981107
2025-10-12 0.259218 0.394368 0.607793 0.984115 1.664346 2.913678 5.572095
2025-10-19 0.248376 0.383938 0.602290 0.996312 1.728604 3.118494 6.199945
2025-10-26 0.236966 0.371779 0.592983 1.000948 1.779407 3.304150 6.821669
2025-11-02 0.227547 0.362198 0.587166 1.011054 1.841274 3.519269 7.548839
2025-11-09 0.213289 0.343454 0.564108 0.987121 1.833384 3.588374 7.945207
2025-11-16 0.206138 0.336419 0.561024 1.000401 1.901581 3.828269 8.805323
2025-11-23 0.196532 0.324460 0.548239 0.993733 1.927540 3.978178 9.465881
2025-11-30 0.189271 0.316170 0.541479 0.998175 1.977253 4.188204 10.329291
2025-12-07 0.179779 0.303303 0.525392 0.982488 1.981405 4.291904 10.919967
2025-12-14 0.171674 0.292492 0.512446 0.972117 1.996215 4.423118 11.618282
2025-12-21 0.160469 0.275385 0.486529 0.932799 1.941385 4.375234 11.772287
2025-12-28 0.157424 0.273272 0.489268 0.954090 2.029010 4.699913 13.152226